Aboriginal Justice Strategy, Summative Evaluation

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Cost Analysis (4 year period)

• Diversion 10 Offenders, Recidivism rate: 27%

  • Scenario A - Treatment and no recidivism
    • AJS Program costs (7.3 x $973= $7,103)
    • Total costs A $7,103
  • Scenario B - Treatment and recidivism
    • AJS Program costs (2.7 x $973= $2,627)
    • recidivism
    • Mainstream costs (2.7 x $859= $2,319)
    • Total costs B $4,946

• Mainstream 10 Offenders, Recidivism rate: 49%

  • Scenario C - Offence and no recidivism
    • Mainstream costs (5.1 x $859= $4,381)
    • Total costs C $4,381
  • Scenario D - Offence and recidivism
    • Mainstream costs (4.9 x $859= $4,209)
    • recidivism
    • Mainstream costs (4.9 x $859= $4,209)
    • Total costs D $8,418

Under theses premises, the cost saving of the AJS to the system is (C+D) - (A+B) or ($4,381+$8,418) - ($7,103 + $4,946) = $750 for 10 offenders or $75 per offender.

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